The War in Ukraine: Lots of Questions and a Few Answers

 Victor Davis Hanson analyzes the ongoing war in Ukraine, highlighting the causes and implications of the conflict triggered by Russia's invasion. He discusses the motivations behind Putin's actions, NATO's responses, and the complexities of supporting Ukraine in the war.

1. Origins of the War

• The war in Ukraine began in 2021, fueled by Putin's belief that he could invade without facing U. S. deterrence.

• He perceived weakness in the West, especially after the U. S. withdrawal from Afghanistan and Joe Biden's remarks about a "minor" Russian invasion.

2. NATO's Response

• NATO struggled to deter Russia due to a lack of readiness and commitment to defense spending among its members.

• Many European nations were dependent on Russian natural gas and did not heed warnings about rearmament voiced by previous U. S. presidents.

3. Putin’s Persistence

• Putin maintains the war despite ongoing losses, largely to avoid appearing weak or admitting failure.

• He has not secured enough territory to justify the costs incurred and hopes to eventually break Ukraine's resolve.

4. Support for Ukraine

• There are various reasons for not providing Ukraine with overwhelming support, including nuclear deterrence from Russia.

• The U. S. and NATO lack enough advanced weaponry and political will to escalate the conflict.

5. Ukraine's Corruption

• While Ukraine has corruption issues, it is viewed as less corrupt compared to Russia, justifying continued Western support.

• The U. S. feels a responsibility to assist Ukraine to prevent another swift defeat similar to Afghanistan.

6. Potential for Peace

• A proposed peace deal could involve establishing a DMZ and Ukraine giving up claims to certain territories.

• Such a deal requires Putin to feel he gained enough territory to save face, while also addressing Ukraine's security needs.

7. Challenges to Lasting Peace

• Any lasting peace would depend on maintaining mutual deterrents to prevent future aggression from Russia.

• The potential for a stable, democratic Ukraine remains uncertain, requiring ongoing vigilance against Russian expansionism.

The war in Ukraine is entangled in historical complexities, national interests, and the balance of power. While potential solutions exist, they hinge on the willingness of both sides to negotiate terms that provide a sense of victory and security. The path forward remains fraught with challenges, including the risk of renewed conflict if underlying tensions are not effectively addressed. 

https://amgreatness.com/2025/12/01/the-war-in-ukraine-lots-of-questions-and-a-few-answers/