On November 3, 2025, Victor Davis Hanson discusses China's reluctant agreement to curb fentanyl exports to Mexico and ease trade tensions with the United States. This deal follows a series of diplomatic maneuvers by President Donald Trump, indicating a shift in international relationships and power dynamics.
• China's Fentanyl Trade: For decades, China has supplied raw materials for fentanyl production to Mexican cartels, contributing to around 600,000 American deaths due to drug overdoses. The recent tentative agreement aims to limit these exports significantly.
• Trump's Strength in Negotiations: The discussions between Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping were characterized by the U. S. negotiating from a position of renewed strength, unlike previous administrations. Trump's policies are seen as having successfully challenged China's past behavior of aggressive trade practices and technology theft.
• Impact of Global Dynamics: Under Trump's leadership, NATO has become more robust, and countries in Asia are re-evaluating their defense strategies against threats from China. There is a noted increase in defense spending by NATO members, and countries like Japan are enhancing their military capabilities.
• China's Changing Perception: China recognized that Trump's approach has altered the landscape, leading to a reassessment of its strategies. The U. S. is seen as re-emerging as a strong global power, which has caused concern in Beijing regarding its own interests.
• Economic Conditions and Responses: The U. S. economy appears to be on an upswing, with low inflation and significant foreign investment projected. This shift encourages Asian allies to seek closer ties with the U. S. and increases skepticism towards China.
• Concerns About China's Stability: The article suggests that China's past reliance on destabilizing actions may be challenged by its internal economic struggles. The idea of the U. S. becoming a stagnant society, as imagined by China, is portrayed as increasingly unrealistic.
• Temporary Agreement: The agreements reached are viewed as a strategic pause for China rather than a long-term commitment, highlighting the ongoing tension in U. S.-China relations.
The tentative agreement between the U. S. and China represents a significant moment in international relations, showcasing a shift in power dynamics and the U. S.'s renewed assertiveness. China's past strategies may no longer suffice in an increasingly competitive global landscape, forcing it to reconsider its dealings with the U. S. and its allies. The article closes with the notion that while negotiations may lead to temporary agreements, both sides remain on alert for future confrontations.
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