Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro is seeking military support from Russia, China, and Iran amid increasing tensions with the United States, which is currently building up forces in the region. Reports suggest Maduro is open to a managed exit if certain conditions are met.
• President Maduro has communicated with Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping for military aid to counter US threats.
• Maduro would agree to a managed exit or exile if the US guarantees amnesty for him and his allies, lifts bounties, and facilitates a comfortable relocation.
• US envoy Richard Grenell had previously negotiated terms with Maduro that included US access to Venezuelan resources, crackdowns on drug trafficking, and the release of American detainees, but these talks ended abruptly due to a shift in US strategy.
• The US is conducting military strikes against boats linked to cartels near Venezuela, leading to a significant military presence in the Caribbean, the largest since 1962.
• In response to Maduro's requests, Russia is prepared to support Venezuela by repairing military aircraft, upgrading systems, and delivering missile units, framing this as legitimate cooperation.
• Russia's involvement complicates US plans for regime change in Venezuela, potentially emboldening Maduro and giving him more leverage in negotiations.
Maduro's appeal for military aid and his willingness to consider exile come amid heightened military tensions with the US. Russia's readiness to assist Venezuela shifts the balance of power and raises the risks for any US-led regime change efforts, illustrating the complex geopolitics at play in the region.
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