Ballotpedia's 14th Annual State Legislative Competitiveness Report analyzes all 5,807 state legislative seats that are up for election on November 5, 2024, in 44 states.
State legislative competitiveness in 2024 was below average for even years from 2010 to 2024.
In 2024, the nationwide State Legislative Competitiveness Index is 33.3, down from the last three election cycles: 2022 (36.6), 2020 (33.4), and 2018 (36.1).
State legislative competitiveness in 2024 (33.3) was below the 14-year competitiveness index average of 34.0. This average is for even-year elections only. Looking at averages across the last three even-year election cycles: 2024 had fewer open seats, incumbents in contested primaries, and seats with major competition.
Key findings of this report include:
965 seats were open (16.6%). This was the second-smallest number of open seats since Ballotpedia began gathering data in 2010.
1,047 incumbents faced contested primaries (21.6%). This was roughly average compared to previous years, down from 27% in 2022 but higher or the same as the 20% and 22% in 2020 and 2018, respectively.
3,580 seats are contested by both major parties (61.6%), higher than in 2022 (59.2%) but lower than in 2018 (66.3%) and 2020 (65.2%).
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