So let me break it all down for you Likelihood of an EMP Attack: Technological Feasibility: Creating an effective EMP weapon is technologically challenging.
Natural EMPs: There is also the risk of a natural EMP caused by a solar storm, similar to the Carrington Event of 1859.
Most Likely Ways an EMP Could Happen: High-Altitude Nuclear Detonation: A nuclear bomb detonated high in the atmosphere could create a powerful EMP. This would require intercontinental ballistic missile capabilities.
Non-Nuclear EMP Devices: These devices can be designed to target specific areas or systems without the broader destruction caused by nuclear weapons.
Their effective range and power are generally less than a nuclear EMP. Cyber-Physical Attacks: A coordinated cyber-attack on power grids and electronic systems could mimic some effects of an EMP, though technically different.
The Fallout From an EMP: Power Outage: EMPs can knock out electricity everywhere, like turning off a big light switch for a whole city or even a country.
That's what happens with an EMP. Water Supply Issues: Without power, getting clean water to homes and buildings becomes really hard.
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